Met Office: 70% chance of tropical cyclone development
- Author: Megan Austin Aug 18, 2017,
Aug 18, 2017, 0:45
Exacta Weather's James Madden added: "This will be a gradual transition to a much better month although some showers will still crop up here and there". Conditions are expected to become more favorable for tropical development as the system moves west over the Atlantic and into Caribbean.
Now Bell says at least 14 to 19 tropical storms will be develop, five to nine of which will become hurricanes, two to five of which will become major hurricanes.
The second is a low pressure area located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
Of the three disturbances, two have earned the designation of "invest", which is short for investigation and allows the hurricane center to start gathering more data on them.
A tropical cyclone can take the form of a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane.
Should the system shift further north than now projected, a tropical storm watch or warning may be required for some of the Leewards and the BVI in the next 24-48 hours.
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"Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganised showers and thunderstorms".
The tail end of a storm system in the US Hurricane Gert is due to hit Irish shores over the coming days. It's been given a 40 percent chance of forming into a cyclone in the next 48 hours.
"The tropical Atlantic is now the third warmest for this time of year since 1950, so that's bullish for activity", said Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at The Weather Company in Andover, Massachusetts.
"Nothing severe is expected but given this August so far, it's just a bit disappointing, since the kids have broken up, it's turned a bit more unsettled".
FIVE DAYS UNTIL ECLIPSE: A persistence forecast is best as for now as it still looks like a fairly routine summer day.
"It's very uncertain, once this system comes through we will have a lot more confidence about how things will play out".